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These estimates are based on analysis of historical returns as well as option market sentiment (determined by the cost of hedging each security in various ways), which provides a forward looking element. We call this high end estimate a security's potential return. Essentially, it's how the security might perform over the next six months in a bullish scenario.We backtested this method by running our analysis every trading day from 1/2/2003 to 10/31/2013 and then looking at the actual returns of the securities with the highest potential returns on our daily scans over the next six months.

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