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That's fairly rare: Only about 20% of the securities that pass both of Portfolio Armor's initial two screens can be hedged this way, and the ones that pass it tend to have returns 37% higher than the ones that don't. So AGO's potential return got boosted by 37% in the "w/AHP" column.Adding Downside Protection To AGO Let's assume you're long 1,000 shares of AGO and are unwilling to risk a decline greater than 20% over the next several months. Here are two ways of hedging it (screen captures below are via the next version of the Portfolio Armor iPhone app).Uncapped Upside, Positive CostAs of Monday's close, these were the optimal puts to hedge 1,000 shares of AGO against a >20% decline by late October.As you can see above, the cost here was $960, or 2.67%, calculated conservatively, using the ask price of the puts.Capped Upside, Negative CostIf you were willing to cap your upside at 11%, this was the optimal collar to hedge against the same >20% decline over the same time frame.The main difference with this hedge is that the cost of the put leg was more than offset by the income of $1,110, or 3.09% of position value, generated from selling the call leg (calculated conservatively, at the bid).So the net cost was negative, meaning you would have collected a net credit of $130 when opening this hedge, assuming you placed both trades at the worst ends of their respective spreads.Wrapping Up Based on the 1.5% potential return Portfolio Armor calculates for AGO now, I wouldn't want to own it here, but the results of the AHP test suggest options market participants were sanguine about its downside risk as of Monday's close.
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